Polymarket

Polymarket Bettors Put Their Money on Trump Being Convicted Before Election Day
Polymarket Bettors Put Their Money on Trump Being Convicted Before Election Day
Bettors on Polymarket give a 76% chance that former President Donald Trump will be convicted before election day. This is up from 57% in late March when the contract was initi...
Polymarket Bettors Put Their Money on Trump Being Convicted Before Election Day

Tesla CEO Elon Musk speaks during an event to launch the new Tesla Model X Crossover SUV on September 29, 2015 in Fremont, California. After several production delays, Elon Mush officially launched the much anticipated Tesla Model X Crossover SUV. The
Elon Musk Will Likely Remain Tesla CEO, and Tweet Non-Stop: Prediction Markets
Also: Trump faces likely conviction, per Polymarket punters; CFTC hearing to discuss political betting ban.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk speaks during an event to launch the new Tesla Model X Crossover SUV on September 29, 2015 in Fremont, California. After several production delays, Elon Mush officially launched the much anticipated Tesla Model X Crossover SUV. The

Columbia University President Minouche Shafik, left (Alex Wong/Getty Images)
Polymarket Odds Say Columbia University President Will Keep Job
Continuing pro-Palestine protests won't lead to Minouche Shafik having a fate similar to Claudine Gay, who was recently forced to resign as Harvard's president, the prediction...
Columbia University President Minouche Shafik, left (Alex Wong/Getty Images)

Polymarket Traders Bet on Fed Rate Cuts; Bitcoin Spot ETFs Register Five-Day Withdrawals Streak
Polymarket Traders Bet on Fed Rate Cuts; Bitcoin Spot ETFs Register Five-Day Withdrawals Streak
"CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the biggest headlines impacting the crypto industry today, as U.S.-based spot bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds registered...
Polymarket Traders Bet on Fed Rate Cuts; Bitcoin Spot ETFs Register Five-Day Withdrawals Streak

(Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
Polymarket Traders See 32% Chance of No Fed Rate Cuts This Year
The hawkish shift in the market sentiment could dampen the demand for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies and technology stocks.
(Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

A C-17 Globemaster III from the 437th Air Wing, Charleston Air Force Base, S.C., air delivery pallets of water and food to Mirebalais, Haiti, Jan 21, 2010 to be distributed by the members of the United Nations.  Department of Defense assets have been deployed to assist in the Haiti relief effort  following a magnitude 7 earthquake that hit the city on Jan. 12, 2010. (U.S. Air Force photo/Tech. Sgt. James L. Harper Jr.)
Which Crypto Projects Will Airdrop Next? Prediction Markets Are Placing Bets
Eigenlayer has a 66% chance of sending users free tokens by June 30, the odds on Polymarket signal. Plus: Kalshi lands a big Wall Street account.
A C-17 Globemaster III from the 437th Air Wing, Charleston Air Force Base, S.C., air delivery pallets of water and food to Mirebalais, Haiti, Jan 21, 2010 to be distributed by the members of the United Nations.  Department of Defense assets have been deployed to assist in the Haiti relief effort  following a magnitude 7 earthquake that hit the city on Jan. 12, 2010. (U.S. Air Force photo/Tech. Sgt. James L. Harper Jr.)

(CoinDesk Indicies)
Bitcoin Back Down to $66K as Rising Treasury Yields Catch Investor Interest
Prediction markets and CME's Fed Watch Tool have virtually ruled out a rate cut until later this year
(CoinDesk Indicies)

Donald J. Trump at a rally (Gerd Altmann, modified by CoinDesk)
Who Will Trump Pick for Veep? Polymarket Gives Tim Scott Best Odds: Prediction Markets
Plus: Free money? "Democrat wins New York" contract trades at 90 cents on the dollar.
Donald J. Trump at a rally (Gerd Altmann, modified by CoinDesk)

Blockchain's fortune tellers have no more a crystal ball than in any other sphere of life. But these predictions are as good as any. (Francis Hayman/Metropolitan Museum of Art, modified by CoinDesk)
How Many Years Will SBF Get? Jury's Out on Betting Platform Polymarket
Plus: Tesla's delivery numbers will fall short of record, Kalshi traders signal; "Ghostbusters" fandom underestimated.
Blockchain's fortune tellers have no more a crystal ball than in any other sphere of life. But these predictions are as good as any. (Francis Hayman/Metropolitan Museum of Art, modified by CoinDesk)

President Trump Delivers Remarks in New Orleans; Jan 14, 2019
Nearly $100M Wagered on U.S. Presidential Election on Polymarket
Bettors on the crypto-based prediction market platform see a clear path to victory for Trump, and are bullish on Ethereum's ETH hitting an all-time high in 2024 – just not bef...
President Trump Delivers Remarks in New Orleans; Jan 14, 2019